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What will be the effects on workers, businesses, consumers and families of the city of Seattle’s ordinance increasing the minimum hourly wage to $15 by the year 2022?

Faculty from the 91×ÔÅÄ’s schools of public affairs, public health and social work are teaming up for , a five-year 91×ÔÅÄ project to learn that and more.

An passed by the Seattle City Council in June 2014 mandates a citywide minimum wage increase to $11 an hour on April 1 that will grow to $15 an hour by the year 2022. The council also resolved to evaluate the impact of that ordinance and is contracting with UW 91×ÔÅÄers and others for that work.

, professor in the , will be principal investigator on the project along with , also of the Evans School, and of the .

UW co-investigators are , and of the Evans School and of the . Other co-investigators are Scott Bailey and Anneliese Vance-Sherman of the Washington Employment Security Department.

“Our goal is to make this a data-driven conversation about what is the good that is being done, what is the harm that is being done, and are we happy with that tradeoff,” Vigdor in a recent interview.

The study will be a multifaceted evaluation of the wage ordinance’s effects on workers, employers and the local economy. Its several components will include an employer survey and in-depth study of the effect on families as well as on regional pricing and administrative and census data.

The 91×ÔÅÄers listed fundamental questions about the higher minimum wage to be investigated in the 91×ÔÅÄ:

  • What is its impact on workers, their families, employers and the community?
  • Does it impact employment and earnings among low-wage workers?
  • Does it affect overall employment, business longevity or the mix of firms that do business in Seattle?
  • How does it affect consumer prices?
  • Does it improve quality of life measures, including health, nutrition and daily family life?
  • Does it affect public assistance program eligibility and benefits received?
  • Do nonprofit service organizations respond to higher wages by cutting back on services to vulnerable families?
  • How do low-income families and employers experience the implementation of the policy and how do they perceive its benefits and costs?
  • How do businesses adapt to higher labor costs?

The project will build on by Plotnick, Long and , also of the Evans School, on who would be affected by the wage increase. That was released in March 2014, prior to the passage of the ordinance.

The 91×ÔÅÄers will provide the city of Seattle regular updates on their study as the wage increases are implemented.

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For general inquiries about the Seattle Minimum Wage Study, write mwage@uw.edu. Principal investigator Vigdor is at 206-616-4436 or jvigdor@uw.edu; Long at 206-543-3787 or marklong@uw.edu; Romich at romich@uw.edu or 206-616-6121.